Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:48:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8f19…b0ca
sports · 1135 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$377 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$324 · open +$53
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$533
Realized+$324
Unrealized+$53
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses934 / 200
Est. fees paid−$75
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1134 / 1135
History coverage109d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day25.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 1134 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$173
7 days+$451
14 days+$458
30 days+$453
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 74¢ 82¢ $480 $533 +$53 (+11%)
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $495 +$5 +1%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $16 +$15 +90%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $701 +$40 +6%
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Jun 13 $53 +$1 +1%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $71 +$81 +114%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $113 $0 +0%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $70 +$8 +11%
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) Jun 13 $317 $0 +0%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $70 +$22 +32%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $16 $0 +0%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $483 +$2 +0%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $65 $0 -0%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $213 +$13 +6%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $282 +$5 +2%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $81 +$74 +92%
England vs. Costa Rica: Costa Rica O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $78 $0 +0%
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Costa Rica? Jun 11 $27 $0 +0%
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Costa Rica? Jun 11 $13 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $19 $0 +1%
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Costa Rica? Jun 10 $27 $0 +0%
Spread: Costa Rica (-1.5) Jun 10 $80 $0 +0%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $344 +$6 +2%
Spread: Nigeria (-1.5) Jun 10 $8 $0 +0%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $23 +$1 +4%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $50 +$11 +21%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $10 +$9 +90%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 +$4 +39%
Exact Score: Hungary 3 - 3 Kazakhstan? Jun 09 $350 $0 +0%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 +$3 +28%
Exact Score: Hungary 1 - 0 Kazakhstan? Jun 09 $51 $0 +0%
Spread: Hungary (-1.5) Jun 09 $4 $0 +10%
Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw? Jun 09 $100 +$8 +8%
Spread: Knicks (-8.5) Jun 09 $354 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1,238 +$38 +3%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $402 +$58 +14%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 08 $10 $0 -2%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 08 $1 +$4 +408%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
Spread: Norway (-1.5) Jun 07 $125 $0 +0%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $142 +$1 +1%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $351 +$42 +12%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $8 +$9 +107%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $9 +$5 +53%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 07 $1 $0 +27%
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M Jun 07 $8 +$2 +26%
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bant Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Will United States vs. Germany end in a draw? Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$398
other 13% −$26
politics 0% +$8
culture 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 72¢ $73 8m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 83¢ $83 14m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 84¢ $70 14m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 84¢ $14 14m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 70¢ $202 39m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $3 54m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $18 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 59¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 61¢ $4 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 70¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 70¢ $3 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 72¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 80¢ $8 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $495 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 52¢ $16 5h
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) BUY Qatar 99¢ $3 5h
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) BUY Qatar 99¢ $50 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $701 7h
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) BUY United States 100¢ $317 24h
United States leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 24h
United States leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $4 24h
United States leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 25h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Over 76¢ $0 26h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Over 76¢ $70 26h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 100¢ $16 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $261 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $39 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 99¢ $73 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 99¢ $11 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +22.3% +10.6% 93% 29% -3.7%
≤30d 148 +0.3% -9.3% 77% 33% -6.4%
≤90d 865 -9.8% -18.4% 77% 15% -9.7%
all 1134 -4.2% -13.3% 82% 15% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 15% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 10% -17.7%
15% -29.2% 9% -25.6%
20% -36.1% 7% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $532.75 · official $532.75 (match) · 3500 history records