Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:41:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8f29…88e7
other · 10 markets active 2h ago
3.5score
+$13 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses4 / 2
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)6 / 10
History coverage3d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 4 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Scotland 52¢ 55¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+5%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 67¢ 84¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+25%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +94%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$18 +172%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +41%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 70% +$10
sports 30% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 67¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $10 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland SELL Ireland 45¢ $10 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Ireland 51¢ $12 16h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 52¢ $12 16h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 80¢ $20 16h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 23h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $20 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $28 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $5 30h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 30h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 34¢ $10 46h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $10 46h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 75¢ $5 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +23.4% +11.6% 67% 67% +14.5%
≤30d 6 +23.4% +11.6% 67% 67% +14.5%
≤90d 6 +23.4% +11.6% 67% 67% +14.5%
all 6 +23.4% +11.6% 67% 67% +14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +11.6% 67% +14.5%
10% +0.9% 67% +3.5%
15% -8.8% 50% -6.5%
20% -17.8% 33% -15.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.72 · official $44.72 (match) · 20 history records