Wallet analysis

2026-06-30T00:46:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8F 0x8f2d…ece2 crypto 1433 markets active 0h ago coverage 11d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (143 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$148 (-1%) realized −$148 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate90%1286W / 147L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day143.4pace
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$173
14 days−$159
30 days−$159
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% −$138
other 8% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (143 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 609 -5.9% -14.9% 87% 2% -11.8%
≤30d 1433 -2.1% -11.5% 90% 2% -10.8%
≤90d 1433 -2.1% -11.5% 90% 2% -10.8%
all 1433 -2.1% -11.5% 90% 2% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover143.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 2% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 1% -19.4%
15% -27.7% 0% -27.2%
20% -34.8% 0% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$148
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1286 / 147
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1433 / 1433
History coverage11d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day143.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1433 Trades
no open positions (23 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 30 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 30 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 30 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 30 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 29 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 29 $12 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2917 history records