Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:08:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8f30…17d2
crypto · 1262 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$392 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$392 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$392
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses721 / 518
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1239 / 1262
History coverage28d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day50.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1239 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$243
7 days−$270
14 days−$308
30 days−$392
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$27 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$9 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$9 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$10 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$8 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$35 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$11 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$7 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $35 +$22 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $35 −$34 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$392
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $35 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $34 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $34 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $33 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $34 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $34 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $25 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 544 -9.7% -18.3% 65% 37% -12.0%
≤30d 1239 -7.5% -16.3% 58% 39% -11.8%
≤90d 1239 -7.5% -16.3% 58% 39% -11.8%
all 1239 -7.5% -16.3% 58% 39% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.3% 39% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 31% -20.2%
15% -31.6% 24% -27.9%
20% -38.3% 21% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2186 history records