Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:14:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8f5a…9ac9
crypto · 1437 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,422 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,422 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$1,422
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses1339 / 98
Whale WR (big bets)90%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1437 / 1437
History coverage69d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day31.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 1437 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days−$28
14 days−$39
30 days−$1,150
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$5 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$3 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$5 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$3 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$1,386
other 9% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $7 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $7 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 604 -1.4% -10.8% 88% 28% -8.3%
≤30d 861 -1.6% -11.0% 90% 21% -14.5%
≤90d 1437 -1.0% -10.4% 93% 13% -11.2%
all 1437 -1.0% -10.4% 93% 13% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 13% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 3% -19.7%
15% -26.8% 0% -27.4%
20% -34.0% 0% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.62 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records