trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -24.4% | -31.6% | 62% | 24% | -26.5% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -21.2% | -28.7% | 62% | 29% | -16.4% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -21.2% | -28.7% | 62% | 29% | -16.4% |
| all | 24 | -21.2% | -28.7% | 62% | 29% | -16.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.7% | 29% | -16.4% |
| 10% | -35.5% | 25% | -24.4% |
| 15% | -41.8% | 17% | -31.7% |
| 20% | -47.5% | 12% | -38.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 60¢ | 46¢ | $546 | $413 | −$134 (-24%) |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | Under | 57¢ | 100¢ | $200 | $351 | +$151 (+75%) |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 | Over | 76¢ | 100¢ | $76 | $100 | +$24 (+32%) |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 7¢ | 6¢ | $70 | $55 | −$15 (-21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5 | Jun 20 | $21 | +$12 | +56% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Jun 20 | $1,700 | +$91 | +5% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $500 | +$12 | +2% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $86 | −$86 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan? | Jun 17 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $49 | +$51 | +104% |
| Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $99 | +$11 | +11% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? | Jun 16 | $465 | +$5 | +1% |
| Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Jun 16 | $194 | +$6 | +3% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $252 | −$252 | -100% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 15 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $1,026 | −$300 | -29% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $2,576 | −$412 | -16% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 | Jun 14 | $31 | +$10 | +34% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 | Jun 14 | $86 | +$22 | +26% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 | Jun 14 | $35 | +$1 | +4% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $38 | $0 | +1% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | Jun 14 | $39 | +$4 | +10% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $512 | +$288 | +56% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 27 | $435 | +$205 | +47% |
| Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? | May 23 | $64 | −$64 | -100% |