Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:28:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8f93…725a
crypto · 46 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$87
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses23 / 11
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions12
Markets (closed)34 / 46
History coverage2d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day30.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 12 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 +$4 +78%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$9 +173%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 58% −$3
other 41% +$2
sports 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $10 14m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 29¢ $5 21m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $5 21m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 42m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 30¢ $5 44m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 31¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 39¢ $9 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 14h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 14h
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 15h
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 15h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 15h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 17h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 92¢ $14 17h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 17h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 65¢ $10 18h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 7¢ $5 18h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 70¢ $50 18h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 18h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 18h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $7 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +0.9% -8.7% 68% 50% -10.0%
≤30d 34 +0.9% -8.7% 68% 50% -10.0%
≤90d 34 +0.9% -8.7% 68% 50% -10.0%
all 34 +0.9% -8.7% 68% 50% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 50% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 44% -18.6%
15% -25.4% 21% -26.4%
20% -32.8% 12% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $86.82 · official $86.82 (match) · 77 history records