Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:39:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8faa…e76a
sports · 334 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$184 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open −$195
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$201
Realized+$10
Unrealized−$195
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses172 / 148
Est. fees paid−$125
Open positions14
Markets (closed)320 / 334
History coverage8d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day408.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 14 History 320 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$259
7 days−$20
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Team Heretics 39¢ 28¢ $167 $118 −$48 (-29%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 60¢ 81¢ $19 $26 +$7 (+37%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 11¢ 10¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 8¢ 3¢ $29 $13 −$16 (-57%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 16¢ 14¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-18%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 52¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+17%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? No 1¢ 1¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-26%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-39%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 9¢ 0¢ $11 $1 −$10 (-94%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Team Heretics 6¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 49¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 55¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 38¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 32¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI HANJIN BRION 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 19¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 29¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner GAM Esports 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 24¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $41 +$10 +25%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $103 +$32 +31%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $52 +$35 +67%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $105 +$81 +77%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $13 +$8 +59%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $144 −$137 -96%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $34 −$7 -20%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $13 +$11 +81%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$8 +84%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $67 +$25 +38%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $17 +$9 +50%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$3 +54%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$49 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $185 −$182 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $41 −$40 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $80 −$79 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $61 +$66 +109%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $73 −$72 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $333 +$71 +21%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $42 −$32 -77%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $31 −$27 -87%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $15 −$13 -88%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $123 +$19 +15%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $7 −$4 -54%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $15 +$12 +76%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $182 +$97 +53%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $40 +$19 +47%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $91 −$90 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $64 +$19 +30%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $41 −$13 -32%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $166 +$50 +30%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$2 +25%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $66 +$31 +47%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$4 +20%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $51 +$30 +58%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $35 +$24 +68%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $86 +$37 +43%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$3 +30%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $30 +$20 +64%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $66 −$65 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $311 +$94 +30%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $31 −$15 -47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$115
crypto 8% −$106
other 3% +$38
economics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 46¢ $1 1m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 45¢ $2 2m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 8¢ $1 3m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 58¢ $1 4m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 59¢ $2 4m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 59¢ $1 4m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 61¢ $2 6m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 63¢ $5 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 69¢ $5 8m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 31¢ $10 8m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 32¢ $10 9m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 12¢ $1 10m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 16¢ $2 10m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $1 13m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 22¢ $1 16m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 25¢ $2 18m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 30¢ $3 20m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 19¢ $5 30m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 19¢ $2 30m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 19¢ $1 30m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 24¢ $10 33m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 24¢ $2 33m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 24¢ $2 33m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 31¢ $5 35m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 11¢ $1 37m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 40¢ $5 38m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 3¢ $1 38m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $1 39m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $1 40m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 44¢ $5 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 257 -12.9% -21.2% 51% 47% -9.5%
≤30d 320 -10.7% -19.2% 54% 47% -9.2%
≤90d 320 -10.7% -19.2% 54% 47% -9.2%
all 320 -10.7% -19.2% 54% 47% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover408.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 47% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.9% 40% -17.9%
15% -34.0% 27% -25.8%
20% -40.4% 20% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $201.33 · official $201.70 (match) · 3200 history records