Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:28:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8fb0…98b8
crypto · 384 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$96 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$96 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$57
Realized+$96
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses158 / 226
Open positions0
Markets (closed)384 / 384
History coverage16d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day195.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 384 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$202
7 days−$48
14 days+$95
30 days+$96
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 28¢ 100¢ $16 $57 +$41 (+252%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $59 +$61 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$6 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$7 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$29 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$21 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$51 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$26 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$17 +220%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$15 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$32 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$40 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $50 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $40 +$34 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $59 +$39 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $57 +$38 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $34 +$36 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 10 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$4 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $22 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$8 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 10 $14 +$6 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $61 −$61 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$96
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 166 -20.0% -27.6% 34% 33% -11.1%
≤30d 384 -6.5% -15.4% 41% 40% -8.2%
≤90d 384 -6.5% -15.4% 41% 40% -8.2%
all 384 -6.5% -15.4% 41% 40% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover195.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 40% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 39% -16.9%
15% -30.9% 37% -25.0%
20% -37.6% 35% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $56.66 · official $56.67 (match) · 3500 history records