Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8fbb…9a17
sports · 83 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$157,238 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$156,768 · open +$470
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$34,783
Realized+$156,768
Unrealized+$470
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses46 / 35
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$12,988
Open positions2
Markets (closed)81 / 83
Avg bet$13,488
Trades / day394.8
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 81 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$142,872
7 days+$109,623
14 days+$156,768
30 days+$156,768
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $24,021 $24,276 +$256 (+1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ 48¢ $10,292 $10,506 +$214 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10,146 −$147 -1%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $45,720 +$20,943 +46%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $21,943 +$5,833 +27%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $14,713 +$2,032 +14%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 11 $109 −$109 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $634 −$634 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 11 $67 −$67 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 11 $1,111 −$1,111 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $14,391 −$1,059 -7%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $2,212 −$2,212 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 11 $2,150 −$2,150 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $338 −$338 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 11 $2,055 −$2,055 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $2,889 −$2,889 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 11 $8,110 −$2,555 -32%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,642 −$1,642 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,965 −$3,965 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $4,439 −$4,439 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 11 $6,699 −$6,699 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 11 $3,800 −$3,800 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 11 $5,650 −$5,650 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $5,838 −$5,838 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $4,495 −$4,495 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $3,047 −$3,047 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 11 $14,040 −$5,336 -38%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 11 $6,204 −$6,204 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 11 $5,386 −$5,386 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $15,509 −$7,307 -47%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $15,679 −$7,901 -50%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 11 $4,969 −$4,969 -100%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S Jun 11 $14,698 −$14,698 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 11 $7,888 −$7,888 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $17,721 −$17,721 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $13,575 −$13,575 -100%
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5) Jun 11 $18,202 −$18,202 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 11 $63,400 −$63,400 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2,959 +$2,186 +74%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $41,571 +$25,092 +60%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3,975 −$227 -6%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2,700 +$633 +24%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $27,334 +$544 +2%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $254 +$414 +163%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $5,297 +$2,474 +47%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $23,509 +$24,691 +105%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $72,155 +$34,443 +48%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $13,721 +$2,944 +22%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $24,113 +$6,019 +25%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $3,277 +$2,278 +70%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $37,113 +$6,631 +18%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $56,084 +$29,273 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$136,039
other 6% +$21,199
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $84 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $167 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $531 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $53 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2,063 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1,915 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1,235 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $418 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $9 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $289 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $235 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $3 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $128 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1,537 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2,611 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5,222 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $696 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1,061 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $13 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $522 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1,759 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $38 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $13 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $74 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $636 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1,320 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -7.7% -16.5% 55% 51% -0.0%
≤30d 81 -3.4% -12.6% 57% 53% +3.5%
≤90d 81 -3.4% -12.6% 57% 53% +3.5%
all 81 -3.4% -12.6% 57% 53% +3.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover394.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 53% +3.5%
10% -20.9% 44% -6.4%
15% ← realistic here -28.6% 40% -15.4%
20% -35.6% 23% -23.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34,782.63 · official $34,782.63 (match) · 3500 history records