trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -19.5% | -27.1% | 0% | 0% | -29.3% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 67% | 0% | -22.5% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 67% | 0% | -22.5% |
| all | 6 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 67% | 0% | -22.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.9% | 0% | -22.5% |
| 10% | -19.4% | 0% | -29.9% |
| 15% | -27.2% | 0% | -36.7% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 0% | -42.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $800 | $790 | −$10 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | Jun 13 | $2,458 | −$550 | -22% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | Jun 13 | $251 | −$42 | -17% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | Jun 11 | $1,002 | +$46 | +5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? | Jun 06 | $19 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? | Jun 03 | $18 | +$2 | +9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? | May 30 | $16 | +$1 | +8% |