trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | -11.3% | -19.7% | 52% | 52% | -18.3% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -17.2% | -25.1% | 48% | 48% | -20.1% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -17.2% | -25.1% | 48% | 48% | -20.1% |
| all | 27 | -23.3% | -30.6% | 44% | 44% | -20.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.6% | 44% | -20.8% |
| 10% | -37.3% | 33% | -28.3% |
| 15% | -43.3% | 30% | -35.3% |
| 20% | -48.9% | 19% | -41.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 66¢ | 64¢ | $23 | $23 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $24 | +$25 | +104% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $20 | +$3 | +15% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $16 | +$5 | +30% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $33 | −$18 | -53% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $10 | +$10 | +97% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $131 | −$74 | -57% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $21 | +$9 | +43% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $88 | +$10 | +11% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $25 | +$19 | +76% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $27 | +$17 | +62% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $28 | +$24 | +86% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $45 | +$6 | +12% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $17 | −$17 | -98% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $19 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $86 | −$66 | -77% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $59 | +$27 | +46% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $40 | +$19 | +48% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 11 | $18 | −$13 | -70% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Feb 15 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | Feb 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |