Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T19:46:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8F 0x8fc7…2c32 crypto 164 markets active 2h ago coverage 22d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 21d only
✗ bot/MM pace (151 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,148 (+3%) realized +$1,148 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate68%117W / 55L
Whale WR74%big bets
Drawdown86%max
Avg bet$246per market
Trades / day151.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,137
7 days+$48
14 days+$88
30 days+$316
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,341
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (151 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -7.1% -16.0% 67% 37% -9.3%
≤30d 172 -6.7% -15.6% 68% 38% -8.7%
≤90d 172 -6.7% -15.6% 68% 38% -8.7%
all 172 -6.7% -15.6% 68% 38% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover151.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 38% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 20% -17.5%
15% -31.1% 10% -25.4%
20% -37.8% 3% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
42% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 74% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -7% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
17.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$40 vs −$79 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.07 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,148
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses117 / 55
Whale WR (big bets)74%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)172 / 164
History coverage22d ⚠
Avg bet$246
Trades / day151.1
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 172 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 27 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 27 $456 −$456 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 27 $481 −$481 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 27 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 27 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 27 $180 +$17 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 27 $26 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 27 $35 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 26 $47 −$45 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 26 $113 −$53 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 26 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 26 $56 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 26 $91 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 26 $36 +$18 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 26 $66 −$13 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 26 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 26 $61 +$12 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 26 $208 −$84 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 26 $115 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 26 $81 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 26 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $1,731 −$589 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 25 $1,344 −$308 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 25 $542 +$18 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 25 $280 +$41 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 25 $587 +$51 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 25 $282 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 25 $303 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 25 $569 +$69 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 25 $905 +$40 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 25 $143 −$86 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 25 $192 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 25 $171 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 25 $332 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 25 $92 +$49 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 25 $385 +$116 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 25 $281 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 25 $40 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 25 $134 +$93 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $46 −$45 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 25 $266 +$43 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 25 $340 +$40 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 25 $1,220 −$11 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $26 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $26 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $21 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $4 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records