trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -92% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$3 | +102% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$1 | -35% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +43% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +4.6% | -5.4% | 50% | 50% | +4.9% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +4.6% | -5.4% | 50% | 50% | +4.9% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +4.6% | -5.4% | 50% | 50% | +4.9% |
| all | 4 | +4.6% | -5.4% | 50% | 50% | +4.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.4% | 50% | +4.9% |
| 10% | -14.4% | 50% | -5.1% |
| 15% | -22.7% | 50% | -14.3% |
| 20% | -30.3% | 25% | -22.7% |