Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8fd9…0a5a
crypto · 16 markets active 3d ago
0.0score
+$17,073 +69%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$17,073 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$17,073
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses10 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)16 / 16
Avg bet$1,536
Trades / day373.1
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 16 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$17,073
14 days+$17,073
30 days+$17,073
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2,486 $0 −$2,486 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1,765 $0 −$1,765 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 09 $1,247 +$922 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 09 $5,765 +$6,076 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $813 +$955 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 09 $3,556 +$6,848 +193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 09 $3,606 +$4,393 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $1,315 +$2,501 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 09 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 09 $1,293 +$1,290 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 09 $2,611 −$2,486 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $260 +$389 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $1,834 −$1,765 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 08 $100 +$18 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 08 $100 +$10 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$17,073
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $49 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $37 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $39 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $31 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $109 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $63 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $450 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $82 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $37 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1,004 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $235 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $25 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $12 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $218 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $388 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $476 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $29 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $515 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $39 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $49 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $39 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +29.9% +17.5% 62% 56% +53.8%
≤30d 16 +29.9% +17.5% 62% 56% +53.8%
≤90d 16 +29.9% +17.5% 62% 56% +53.8%
all 16 +29.9% +17.5% 62% 56% +53.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover373.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +17.5% 56% +53.8%
10% +6.3% 50% +39.1%
15% ← realistic here -4.0% 50% +25.7%
20% -13.4% 50% +13.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 484 history records