Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:59:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8fdc…db2e
crypto · 1702 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$108 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$108
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1474 / 315
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1789 / 1702
History coverage7d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day274.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1789 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$83
7 days−$108
14 days−$108
30 days−$108
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1708 -7.1% -15.9% 82% 36% -14.6%
≤30d 1789 -6.7% -15.6% 82% 36% -14.4%
≤90d 1789 -6.7% -15.6% 82% 36% -14.4%
all 1789 -6.7% -15.6% 82% 36% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover274.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 36% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 9% -22.6%
15% -31.1% 3% -30.1%
20% -37.8% 2% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records