Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:40:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8F 0x8ff3…2608 crypto 29 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$74 (-9%) realized −$74 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate59%17W / 12L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day17.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$110
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +0.8% -8.8% 59% 52% -21.5%
≤30d 29 +0.8% -8.8% 59% 52% -21.5%
≤90d 29 +0.8% -8.8% 59% 52% -21.5%
all 29 +0.8% -8.8% 59% 52% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 52% -21.5%
10% -17.5% 45% -29.0%
15% -25.5% 28% -35.9%
20% -32.8% 24% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 27% · top 2 44% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$26 · ×0.46 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses17 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)29 / 29
History coverage2d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day17.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 29 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$13 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $40 −$40 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $42 +$10 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $8 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$7 +218%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $23 −$3 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $43 +$11 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $45 +$10 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $49 +$12 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $60 −$60 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$56 +271%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $44 +$10 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $47 +$5 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $40 +$35 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$4 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $28 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $30 −$18 -59%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $41 +$16 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$10 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $14 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $40 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $42 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $20 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $23 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $19 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $45 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $22 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $43 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $24 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $45 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $21 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $60 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $30 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $9 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $17 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $44 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $47 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $37 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $40 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $11 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $28 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 66 history records