Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:26:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8ff3…aa8d
crypto · 101 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$85 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$81 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$170
Realized−$81
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses56 / 49
Open positions8
Markets (closed)105 / 101
History coverage65d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 8 History 105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$10
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13? No 99¢ 97¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? No 75¢ 73¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 13? No 99¢ 97¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Iran leadership change by June 30? No 95¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 96¢ 84¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 85¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-31%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 81¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-31%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No 71¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-37%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 7? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 9? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 8? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on June 8? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on June 8? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 9? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on June 9? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 9? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 8? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 8? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 7? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 8? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on June 9? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 8? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on June 8? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on June 8? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 8? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 8? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 8? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 8? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 8? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $32 +$4 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $6 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -29%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +111%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +39%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $25 +$3 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 −$1 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 9? Jun 09 $15 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 9? Jun 09 $10 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8? Jun 08 $2 −$3 -130%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -59%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 7? Jun 07 $14 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 8? Jun 07 $6 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 7? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 7? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 7? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9AM ET Jun 06 $12 +$2 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 6? Jun 06 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8AM ET Jun 06 $17 −$5 -30%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 06 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? Jun 06 $6 −$4 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12AM ET Jun 06 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$1 -18%
XRP Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $1 $0 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $1 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 60% −$83
weather 35% −$1
world 5% +$3
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? BUY No 75¢ $51 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $20 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $24 18h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? BUY Yes 95¢ $23 21h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $6 21h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? SELL Yes 94¢ $10 21h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $5 22h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $1 22h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? BUY Yes 63¢ $7 22h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? SELL Yes 52¢ $4 22h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 82¢ $2 22h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? SELL Yes 25¢ $2 23h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 23h
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $1 24h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 11? SELL No 99¢ $1 24h
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $1 24h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12? BUY No 85¢ $5 25h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 25h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 25h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 25h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 25h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 25h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $5 25h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 37h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $5 37h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $7 37h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11? BUY Yes 90¢ $3 44h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? BUY No 92¢ $1 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-34.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -44.8% -50.1% 40% 18% -13.9%
≤30d 74 -28.3% -35.1% 50% 30% -11.6%
≤90d 105 -27.4% -34.3% 53% 32% -19.5%
all 105 -27.4% -34.3% 53% 32% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -34.3% 32% -19.5%
10% -40.6% 12% -27.2%
15% -46.3% 6% -34.3%
20% -51.6% 2% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $170.24 · official $170.24 (match) · 292 history records