trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +2.5% | -7.2% | 50% | 50% | -8.1% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -14.1% | -22.3% | 60% | 30% | -36.5% |
| ≤90d | 56 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 68% | 41% | -11.8% |
| all | 101 | -12.9% | -21.2% | 63% | 48% | -15.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.2% | 48% | -15.4% |
| 10% | -28.7% | 25% | -23.5% |
| 15% | -35.6% | 7% | -30.9% |
| 20% | -41.9% | 3% | -37.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | No | 71¢ | 72¢ | $71 | $72 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 93¢ | 92¢ | $46 | $46 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $35 | $33 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $8 | $9 | +$1 (+14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $171 | −$10 | -6% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $135 | +$15 | +11% |
| Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | Jun 08 | $116 | +$34 | +29% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli | Jun 08 | $141 | −$41 | -29% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | Jun 01 | $97 | +$3 | +3% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 31 | $46 | +$4 | +8% |
| World Championships: Canada vs. Finland | May 30 | $188 | −$186 | -99% |
| Will Nice win on 2026-05-26? | May 27 | $141 | +$59 | +42% |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29? | May 22 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | May 19 | $278 | −$276 | -99% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? | May 10 | $110 | −$110 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 10 | $194 | −$192 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $116 | +$34 | +29% |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | May 10 | $36 | +$14 | +38% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $221 | +$29 | +13% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 03 | $173 | −$172 | -100% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02? | May 01 | $318 | −$316 | -99% |
| Will Solana reach $130 in April? | May 01 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 01 | $271 | +$79 | +29% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 29 | $204 | +$46 | +23% |
| UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bant | Apr 27 | $81 | +$20 | +24% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Apr 27 | $127 | +$23 | +18% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | Apr 25 | $118 | +$1 | +1% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 23 | $158 | −$157 | -99% |
| Will Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | Apr 23 | $76 | +$24 | +32% |
| Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | Apr 23 | $183 | +$18 | +10% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 21 | $223 | +$27 | +12% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 19 | $156 | +$45 | +29% |
| Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Otto Virtanen | Apr 17 | $146 | +$4 | +3% |
| Nets vs. Raptors | Apr 14 | $145 | +$7 | +5% |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Apr 12 | $255 | −$254 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Apr 12 | $108 | −$105 | -97% |
| Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-11? | Apr 12 | $361 | +$39 | +11% |
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | Apr 11 | $192 | +$56 | +29% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | Apr 07 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Pacers | Apr 07 | $86 | −$84 | -97% |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Apr 07 | $288 | +$12 | +4% |
| Wizards vs. Heat | Apr 07 | $332 | +$17 | +5% |
| Ducks vs. Sharks | Apr 01 | $255 | −$255 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Nets | Apr 01 | $372 | +$27 | +7% |
| Senators vs. Panthers | Apr 01 | $176 | +$274 | +156% |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning | Apr 01 | $205 | +$295 | +144% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31? | Mar 31 | $123 | −$120 | -97% |
| Nets vs. Lakers | Mar 31 | $322 | +$28 | +9% |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | Mar 31 | $470 | +$30 | +6% |
| Bulls vs. Thunder | Mar 27 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Knicks | Mar 27 | $231 | +$69 | +30% |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Mar 27 | $276 | +$74 | +27% |
| Kings vs. Hornets | Mar 24 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |