trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -52.2% | -56.8% | 22% | 22% | -19.6% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -52.2% | -56.8% | 22% | 22% | -19.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -52.2% | -56.8% | 22% | 22% | -19.6% |
| all | 9 | -52.2% | -56.8% | 22% | 22% | -19.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -56.8% | 22% | -19.6% |
| 10% | -60.9% | 22% | -27.3% |
| 15% | -64.7% | 0% | -34.3% |
| 20% | -68.2% | 0% | -40.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | Yes | 10¢ | 16¢ | $30 | $45 | +$15 (+51%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? | Yes | 3¢ | 1¢ | $100 | $18 | −$82 (-82%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? | Yes | 3¢ | 1¢ | $50 | $14 | −$36 (-71%) |
| Will Solana reach $110 in June? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $12 | −$18 (-61%) |
| Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $20 | $12 | −$8 (-42%) |
| Will XRP reach $1.80 in June? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $30 | $10 | −$20 (-65%) |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? | Yes | 7¢ | 3¢ | $20 | $10 | −$10 (-52%) |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in June? | Yes | 19¢ | 9¢ | $15 | $7 | −$8 (-52%) |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $7 | −$23 (-77%) |
| Will Solana reach $90 in June? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $5 | −$5 (-50%) |
| Will Solana reach $100 in June? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $4 | −$6 (-59%) |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-17%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-75%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | Jun 18 | $53 | −$8 | -16% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -95% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? | Jun 15 | $53 | +$18 | +34% |
| Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? | Jun 14 | $32 | −$15 | -47% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? | Jun 14 | $21 | +$7 | +33% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? | Jun 14 | $11 | −$8 | -74% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -95% |