Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T03:26:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
90 0x9003…fa6e crypto 248 markets active 0h ago coverage 4d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 3d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (846 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$23,017 (+72%) realized +$23,017 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -39% what you keep after slip
Net edge-39%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate40%98W / 150L
Whale WR40%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$129per market
Trades / day845.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,015
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (846 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-27.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 248 -20.2% -27.8% 40% 35% -6.7%
≤30d 248 -20.2% -27.8% 40% 35% -6.7%
≤90d 248 -20.2% -27.8% 40% 35% -6.7%
all 248 -20.2% -27.8% 40% 35% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover845.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.8% 35% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -34.7% 31% -15.6%
15% -41.1% 30% -23.7%
20% -46.8% 21% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -20% · $-wt +3% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 40% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -35% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
13.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$88 vs −$51 · ×1.73 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.13 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$23,017
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses98 / 150
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)248 / 248
History coverage4d ⚠
Avg bet$129
Trades / day845.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 248 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $38 +$25 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $1,141 +$1,045 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 18 $1,586 +$1,030 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $1,126 −$894 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 18 $1,299 −$31 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 18 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $70 −$15 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 17 $28 +$14 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $1,507 −$39 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $141 +$54 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $131 −$131 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $176 −$176 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $180 +$124 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $1,473 −$9 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $81 +$38 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $138 +$70 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $14 +$22 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $262 −$36 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $42 +$27 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $257 −$257 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $259 +$172 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $329 −$329 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $83 +$40 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $115 +$62 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $299 +$169 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $270 −$270 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $938 +$77 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $195 +$26 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $61 −$8 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $21 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $119 +$105 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $277 +$201 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $129 +$91 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $132 +$88 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $13 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $8 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $127 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $304 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $709 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records