Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:00:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x9020…5f4b
crypto · 134 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,471 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,056 · open −$415
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$433
Realized−$2,056
Unrealized−$415
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses88 / 538
Open positions1
Markets (closed)626 / 134
History coverage1d
Avg bet$311
Trades / day3370.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 626 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,056
7 days−$2,056
14 days−$2,056
30 days−$2,056
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 3¢ 100¢ $12 $431 +$419 (+3494%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $417 $2 −$415 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$158
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $95 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $53 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $141 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $24 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $94 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $22 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-69.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 626 -66.4% -69.6% 14% 1% -13.8%
≤30d 626 -66.4% -69.6% 14% 1% -13.8%
≤90d 626 -66.4% -69.6% 14% 1% -13.8%
all 626 -66.4% -69.6% 14% 1% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3370.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -69.6% 1% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -72.5% 1% -22.0%
15% -75.1% 1% -29.6%
20% -77.6% 1% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $432.93 · official $433.00 (match) · 3500 history records