Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:50:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x9026…8df5
crypto · 40 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$217 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$219 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$219
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses7 / 31
Open positions2
Markets (closed)38 / 40
History coverage198d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$18
14 days−$18
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Yes 20¢ 12¢ $25 $15 −$10 (-41%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Yes 23¢ 22¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 28? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? No 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 4? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 29-January 4? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 29-January 4? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 5-11? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 4? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? Jun 10 $21 +$1 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $2 −$1 -65%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $6 −$5 -74%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 07 $17 −$8 -50%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 5? Jun 05 $5 +$8 +146%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $6 −$6 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $2 −$2 -94%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 June 1-7? Jun 04 $31 +$7 +21%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $2 −$2 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31? May 31 $2 −$2 -94%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31? May 30 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? May 30 $33 −$4 -13%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? May 28 $32 +$40 +124%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? May 24 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? May 20 $3 −$2 -66%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? May 20 $13 −$8 -61%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? May 20 $26 −$14 -54%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1? Feb 28 $126 −$125 -99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1? Feb 28 $56 −$53 -94%
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Feb 28 $5 $0 -5%
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? Feb 28 $9 +$8 +84%
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? Feb 27 $5 −$2 -42%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? Feb 17 $33 −$3 -10%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? Feb 17 $17 $0 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? Jan 29 $5 +$10 +208%
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 5-11? Jan 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4? Jan 03 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 29-January 4? Jan 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 29-January 4? Jan 03 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? Dec 14 $40 −$9 -23%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7? Dec 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7? Dec 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7? Dec 04 $30 +$14 +46%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 28? Nov 28 $6 −$6 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$235
world 3% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? BUY No 0¢ $1 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? SELL Yes 17¢ $22 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? BUY No 12¢ $1 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? BUY No 1¢ $1 4d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY Yes 24¢ $21 4d
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $11 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 13¢ $11 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 7? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 7? SELL Yes 3¢ $2 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL Yes 27¢ $21 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 7? BUY Yes 15¢ $4 6d
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 7? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 6d
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 7? BUY Yes 3¢ $2 6d
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? SELL Yes 8¢ $8 6d
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? BUY Yes 22¢ $5 7d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 5? BUY Yes 39¢ $5 8d
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 8d
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 4? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 8d
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 4? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 9d
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 4? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 9d
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? BUY Yes 14¢ $11 9d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 June 1-7? SELL Yes 35¢ $38 9d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 June 1-7? BUY Yes 48¢ $20 9d
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 9d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY Yes 12¢ $11 10d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 June 1-7? BUY Yes 14¢ $11 11d
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-54.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -69.4% -72.3% 14% 0% -41.6%
≤30d 21 -56.0% -60.2% 19% 14% -18.5%
≤90d 21 -56.0% -60.2% 19% 14% -18.5%
all 38 -49.4% -54.2% 18% 16% -44.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -54.2% 16% -44.3%
10% -58.6% 13% -49.6%
15% -62.6% 13% -54.5%
20% -66.3% 11% -59.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.63 · official $19.65 (match) · 147 history records