Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:53:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x902d…e3fa
sports · 663 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$311 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$377 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$377
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses350 / 312
Est. fees paid−$83
Open positions1
Markets (closed)662 / 663
History coverage68d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day21.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 1 History 662 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$0
14 days−$45
30 days−$152
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Australia 36¢ 27¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Ireland 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Under 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Canada leading at halftime? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $3 +$2 +54%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $1 +$1 +105%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $1 +$11 +1116%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $3 +$1 +43%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +98%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 +$6 +550%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $1 $0 -15%
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Modena: Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire Jun 12 $28 −$13 -45%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 +$7 +691%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $1 $0 -29%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +21%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $2 +$2 +100%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $17 −$1 -4%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $1 $0 -44%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashire Jun 09 $3 +$6 +208%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent Jun 09 $2 −$1 -57%
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Worcestershire Jun 09 $3 +$1 +32%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 08 $2 $0 +9%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Warwickshire Jun 07 $6 $0 -1%
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Derbyshire Jun 07 $3 $0 +16%
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Glamorgan Jun 07 $9 +$3 +33%
T20 Blast: Gloucestershire vs Worcestershire Jun 07 $2 +$1 +71%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 07 $3 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$362
other 6% −$16
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 36¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 8¢ $1 15h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 59¢ $2 15h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 15h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 15h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 15h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 15h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $3 15h
Switzerland leading at halftime? SELL Yes 93¢ $4 15h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 15h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 15h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 15h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $1 15h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 15h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 64¢ $3 16h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 57¢ $2 16h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa SELL Australia 91¢ $7 19h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY Australia 76¢ $6 21h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Ireland 10¢ $1 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 93¢ $4 33h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 40h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 40h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 40h
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 40h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 40h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 40h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 40h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 40h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 10¢ $1 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 +9.6% -0.8% 35% 31% -9.4%
≤30d 168 -11.1% -19.6% 39% 33% -24.5%
≤90d 662 -5.7% -14.7% 53% 47% -15.8%
all 662 -5.7% -14.7% 53% 47% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 47% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 37% -23.9%
15% -30.3% 27% -31.2%
20% -37.1% 15% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.75 · official $0.75 (match) · 1747 history records