Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:08:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x9030…1cca
crypto · 68 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$31 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized−$30
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses34 / 27
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions7
Markets (closed)61 / 68
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day44.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 7 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$30
14 days−$30
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 68¢ 58¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-14%)
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 87¢ 86¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+3%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-0%)
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 80¢ 80¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 65¢ 60¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-7%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 65¢ 66¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Vitality 72¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -91%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -85%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +80%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $14 +$7 +48%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $16 −$6 -40%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$5 -53%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $3 +$7 +197%
Counter-Strike: FUT Turkuaz vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED League Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $12 +$3 +27%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +62%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $25 +$11 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 47% −$9
crypto 35% −$23
other 16% $0
politics 1% $0
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -0.5% -10.0% 56% 54% -18.3%
≤30d 61 -0.5% -10.0% 56% 54% -18.3%
≤90d 61 -0.5% -10.0% 56% 54% -18.3%
all 61 -0.5% -10.0% 56% 54% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 54% -18.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 52% -26.1%
15% -26.4% 43% -33.2%
20% -33.7% 31% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.67 · official $49.67 (match) · 154 history records