Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:11:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x903a…1c39
crypto · 2013 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$136 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$136 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$136
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses1390 / 493
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1883 / 2013
History coverage14d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day153.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1883 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,449
7 days−$888
14 days−$136
30 days−$136
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$3 (+57%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$1 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+10%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 69¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+30%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,353
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1059 -10.9% -19.4% 64% 61% -27.7%
≤30d 1883 +2.1% -7.6% 74% 70% -11.0%
≤90d 1883 +2.1% -7.6% 74% 70% -11.0%
all 1883 +2.1% -7.6% 74% 70% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover153.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 70% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 52% -19.5%
15% -24.5% 33% -27.3%
20% -31.9% 18% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.23 · official $18.43 · 3500 history records