trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 30 | -8.1% | -16.8% | 33% | 23% | -15.0% |
| ≤30d | 30 | -8.1% | -16.8% | 33% | 23% | -15.0% |
| ≤90d | 30 | -8.1% | -16.8% | 33% | 23% | -15.0% |
| all | 30 | -8.1% | -16.8% | 33% | 23% | -15.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.8% | 23% | -15.0% |
| 10% | -24.8% | 17% | -23.2% |
| 15% | -32.0% | 10% | -30.6% |
| 20% | -38.7% | 10% | -37.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 97¢ | 98¢ | $543 | $551 | +$8 (+1%) |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Yes | 33¢ | 38¢ | $70 | $82 | +$12 (+17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $123 | −$45 | -37% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $27 | −$12 | -47% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | Jun 16 | $10 | −$5 | -48% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $113 | −$6 | -5% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $666 | +$78 | +12% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $102 | −$75 | -73% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$3 | -21% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $56 | −$35 | -62% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $93 | −$36 | -39% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$73 | +367% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $24 | −$4 | -18% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $18 | +$6 | +35% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 15 | $15 | −$2 | -13% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $15 | +$5 | +31% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $15 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$1 | -26% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $35 | −$33 | -94% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$5 | -46% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | Jun 14 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $48 | +$2 | +4% |
| Germany to score first vs. Curaçao? | Jun 14 | $25 | +$2 | +8% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $18 | +$22 | +122% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $15 | −$8 | -53% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $40 | +$7 | +17% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 14 | $6 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $15 | +$11 | +74% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $25 | −$11 | -42% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 10 | $34 | −$10 | -30% |