Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:16:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x9064…dc94
crypto · 135 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$544 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$564 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$564
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses92 / 42
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)134 / 135
History coverage147d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 134 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$76
7 days+$76
14 days+$76
30 days−$144
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 58¢ 32¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-44%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 66¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+51%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 77¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20? No 3¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$25 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 62% +$113
world 34% −$640
other 3% −$50
sports 1% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 +23.7% +11.9% 70% 69% -2.6%
≤30d 132 +22.8% +11.1% 70% 68% -19.1%
≤90d 132 +22.8% +11.1% 70% 68% -19.1%
all 134 +20.9% +9.4% 69% 67% -38.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +9.4% 67% -38.8%
10% -1.0% 54% -44.7%
15% -10.6% 25% -50.0%
20% -19.4% 16% -54.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.37 · official $2.80 · 268 history records