Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:31:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
90 0x9065…8943 sports 70 markets active 2d ago coverage 13d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$30 (-6%) realized −$30 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -21% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate41%29W / 41L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day12.8pace
Fees−$8est.
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$47
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 81% +$22
crypto 11% −$44
other 9% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-28.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -21.2% -28.7% 38% 35% -9.7%
≤30d 70 -20.6% -28.1% 41% 37% -16.8%
≤90d 70 -20.6% -28.1% 41% 37% -16.8%
all 70 -20.6% -28.1% 41% 37% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.1% 37% -16.8%
10% -35.0% 36% -24.8%
15% -41.3% 31% -32.0%
20% -47.0% 26% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -21% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -18% → late -23% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$5 · ×1.13 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses29 / 41
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)70 / 70
History coverage13d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day12.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 70 Trades
no open positions (32 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 15 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $5 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $5 −$5 -99%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $3 −$2 -55%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $3 −$1 -31%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 −$1 -25%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 14 $32 +$18 +57%
Donyell Malen: 1+ goals Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $11 +$8 +77%
Leroy Sané: 1+ goals Jun 14 $4 −$3 -98%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 +$5 +91%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $8 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $11 +$5 +45%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$4 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 +$2 +23%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $13 −$13 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $41 +$19 +45%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 +$4 +94%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$3 +65%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 -9%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$2 +81%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 +$3 +93%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $16 −$1 -6%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 Jun 10 $8 −$8 -99%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $14 +$10 +71%
Jordan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Andorra win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $4 +$3 +67%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $3 −$2 -52%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $10 −$8 -83%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $5 +$3 +64%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $8 −$8 -98%
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $3 −$3 -98%
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: Draw at halftime? Jun 04 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 51¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 52¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 47¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 39¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 45¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 62¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 57¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 46¢ $3 2d
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Over 20¢ $1 2d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 35¢ $2 2d
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 42¢ $4 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Team Falcons 99¢ $38 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 34¢ $8 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 67¢ $7 2d
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 43¢ $3 2d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $3 2d
Donyell Malen: 1+ goals BUY Yes 28¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Team Falcons 41¢ $6 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $19 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 85¢ $6 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 52¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $3 2d
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 54¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $4 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 37¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 42¢ $3 2d
Leroy Sané: 1+ goals BUY Yes 42¢ $4 2d
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 168 history records