Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:41:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x9072…b184
crypto · 1022 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$280 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$284 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$284
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses405 / 611
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1016 / 1022
History coverage266d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 4 History 1016 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days−$3
14 days−$31
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 6¢ 4¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Down 25¢ 6¢ $6 $1 −$5 (-78%)
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-28%)
Padres vs. Cubs Padres 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets New York Mets 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Casper Ruud 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mboko Mboko 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Vikings vs. Chargers Vikings 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Memphis vs. Rice Rice 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$8 +242%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$3 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$11 +533%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 61% −$158
sports 27% −$14
other 7% −$24
politics 3% −$64
economics 1% −$27
finance 0% $0
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 2h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 11h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $11 20h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $4 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -6.3% -15.2% 43% 41% -12.5%
≤30d 185 -9.2% -17.9% 43% 41% -15.9%
≤90d 481 -13.0% -21.3% 40% 39% -17.5%
all 1016 -11.4% -19.8% 40% 39% -21.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.8% 39% -21.4%
10% -27.5% 38% -28.9%
15% -34.5% 35% -35.8%
20% -40.9% 32% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.41 · official $4.41 (match) · 2172 history records