Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:30:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x9086…4d46
sports · 1716 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18,587 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22,004 · open −$120
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$680
Realized−$22,004
Unrealized−$120
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses815 / 897
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$2,948
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1712 / 1716
History coverage142d
Avg bet$201
Trades / day15.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 4 History 1712 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$223
7 days−$1,997
14 days−$1,804
30 days−$35,348
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut Raphael Collignon 64¢ 100¢ $200 $311 +$111 (+55%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinina Anhelina Kalinina 61¢ 88¢ $200 $290 +$90 (+45%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Katie Volynets 66¢ 26¢ $200 $77 −$123 (-61%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Alexander Shevchenko 54¢ $200 $2 −$198 (-99%)
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Tyra Caterina Grant 66¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 63¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce Mattia Bellucci 52¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Luka Mikrut Diego Dedura-Palomero 38¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Lautaro Midon Genaro Alberto Olivieri 41¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Martin Landaluce 52¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Cordoba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Miguel Tobon Miguel Tobon 39¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Adolfo Vallejo 78¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 25¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Iryna Shymanovich Iryna Shymanovich 72¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 56¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Wuning: Harry Wendelken vs Pavel Kotov Harry Wendelken 40¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 48¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luca Nardi Luca Nardi 38¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-03? Yes 26¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic Dino Prizmic 27¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima Luca Van Assche 34¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Daniel Merida Aguilar 48¢ $174 $0 −$174 (-100%)
Will Kamatamare Sanuki vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū end in a draw? Yes 24¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bratislava: Tiago Pereira vs Andrej Martin Tiago Pereira 55¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jacopo Vasami Jacopo Vasami 46¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $204 +$352 +172%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $204 +$309 +152%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $203 −$200 -99%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $203 +$176 +87%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $203 −$200 -98%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $406 +$176 +43%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $201 +$65 +32%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $203 +$112 +56%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $203 −$200 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $201 +$65 +32%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $202 +$72 +36%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $204 −$200 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $203 −$200 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $203 +$232 +114%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $203 +$197 +97%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $203 +$206 +101%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $204 −$200 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $204 −$200 -98%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $12 +$8 +62%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $203 +$17 +8%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $357 −$353 -99%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $203 −$200 -98%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $203 +$189 +93%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $204 −$200 -98%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $203 −$200 -99%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $204 −$200 -98%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $406 −$200 -49%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 11 $202 −$200 -99%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $203 +$168 +83%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $406 +$292 +72%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $405 −$203 -50%
ITF Tokyo: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Nao Nishino Jun 11 $179 −$177 -99%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Ekaterina Maklakova Jun 11 $204 −$200 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $203 +$168 +83%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $203 −$200 -98%
ITF Wichita: Kenta Miyoshi vs Christian Langmo Jun 10 $203 −$200 -98%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $384 +$237 +62%
Tucuman: Maximo Zeitune vs Arklon Del Pino Jun 10 $202 −$200 -99%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 10 $508 +$83 +16%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 10 $203 −$6 -3%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $203 +$251 +123%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $204 −$200 -98%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $407 +$19 +5%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $228 +$11 +5%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $222 −$219 -98%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $308 −$304 -99%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $203 −$89 -44%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $101 +$60 +60%
Lyon: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 10 $203 −$200 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$17,972
other 12% −$4,197
world 0% +$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Katie Volynets 66¢ $202 10m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Alexander Shevchenko 54¢ $203 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin BUY Anhelina Kalinina 61¢ $202 6h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut BUY Raphael Collignon 64¢ $202 6h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $203 14h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $204 15h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 39¢ $204 16h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Lanlana Tararudee 48¢ $203 17h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 53¢ $203 17h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 56¢ $203 18h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw SELL Daniel Galan 56¢ $224 18h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Daniel Galan 49¢ $203 19h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef SELL Celine Naef 90¢ $315 20h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 57¢ $203 21h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 75¢ $201 21h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 51¢ $203 21h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 75¢ $201 25h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 28¢ $204 27h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 73¢ $202 29h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 56¢ $203 29h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $203 39h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 50¢ $203 41h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 49¢ $203 41h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 40¢ $204 42h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 31¢ $204 42h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 61¢ $12 43h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Jacob Fearnley 61¢ $219 43h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 55¢ $203 43h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 63¢ $357 45h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 42¢ $203 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 -10.6% -19.1% 48% 43% -18.9%
≤30d 476 -35.2% -41.4% 33% 32% -40.3%
≤90d 1123 -16.1% -24.1% 42% 41% -22.5%
all 1712 -6.7% -15.5% 48% 47% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.5% 47% -15.3%
10% -23.6% 44% -23.4%
15% -31.0% 41% -30.8%
20% -37.8% 35% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $680.42 · official $680.42 (match) · 3500 history records