Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:18:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x908a…ad16
sports · 95 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$59,548 -119%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59,511 · open −$42
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$785
Realized−$59,511
Unrealized−$42
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses46 / 523
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Est. fees paid−$1,198
Open positions13
Markets (closed)569 / 95
History coverage2d
Avg bet$528
Trades / day1680.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 13 History 569 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$59,501
7 days−$59,511
14 days−$59,511
30 days−$59,511
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $165 $157 −$8 (-5%)
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Lucia Bronzetti 59¢ 58¢ $92 $91 −$1 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 53¢ 54¢ $85 $86 +$1 (+1%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 64¢ 34¢ $153 $80 −$72 (-47%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 70¢ 100¢ $56 $80 +$24 (+42%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 52¢ 48¢ $78 $72 −$6 (-8%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 64¢ 60¢ $51 $48 −$4 (-7%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 29¢ 52¢ $23 $41 +$18 (+78%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-10%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 33¢ 40¢ $20 $25 +$5 (+23%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $24 $23 −$1 (-4%)
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Harmony Tan 71¢ 72¢ $22 $23 +$0 (+2%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-12%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 75¢ 76¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Lucrezia Stefanini 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-01-30? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2025-12-19? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-10? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Australian Open Women's: Solana Sierra vs Moyuka Uchijima Sierra 66¢ 0¢ $570 $0 −$570 (-100%)
Will Romania win on 2025-10-12? No 88¢ 0¢ $241 $0 −$241 (-100%)
Will Parma win on 2025-11-08? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-12-21? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $173 $0 −$173 (-100%)
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2025-11-07? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-01-30? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2025-12-19? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-10? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Australian Open Women's: Solana Sierra vs Moyuka Uchijima Jun 12 $570 −$570 -100%
Will Romania win on 2025-10-12? Jun 12 $241 −$241 -100%
Will Parma win on 2025-11-08? Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-12-21? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? Jun 12 $173 −$173 -100%
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2025-11-07? Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-11-25? Jun 12 $330 −$330 -100%
Will FC Drita win on 2025-12-18? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $261 −$271 -104%
Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-01-24? Jun 12 $710 −$710 -100%
OGC Nice vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $168 −$168 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-01-31? Jun 12 $134 −$128 -96%
Will Vitória SC vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $732 −$732 -100%
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-11-01? Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-11-22? Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-01-04? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Genoa win on 2025-10-29? Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-30? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Toulouse FC vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $366 −$366 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $229 −$229 -100%
Will FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Melbourne City FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $89 −$89 -100%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-24? Jun 12 $86 −$86 -100%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 12 $11 +$10 +88%
XRP Up or Down - December 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03? Jun 12 $251 −$251 -100%
Will Albania vs. England end in a draw? Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-12-10? Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-04-25? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Göztepe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $157 −$157 -100%
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-17? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-01-24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-11? Jun 12 $237 −$237 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23? Jun 12 $410 −$410 -100%
Will Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw? Jun 12 $119 −$119 -100%
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-01-22? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Ecuador win on 2025-11-13? Jun 12 $116 −$116 -100%
Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,073
other 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 30¢ $3 0m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 31¢ $3 0m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 64¢ $52 0m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 64¢ $52 0m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 63¢ $51 0m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 62¢ $146 1m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 62¢ $50 1m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 62¢ $50 1m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 73¢ $35 1m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 73¢ $24 2m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 64¢ $43 2m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 64¢ $52 2m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 66¢ $11 2m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery SELL Robin Montgomery 81¢ $9 2m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 79¢ $9 3m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 71¢ $57 3m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 73¢ $59 4m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Felix Auger-Aliassime 26¢ $21 4m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 71¢ $22 4m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 30¢ $25 4m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 67¢ $53 4m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 29¢ $9 4m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 29¢ $14 4m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 67¢ $53 4m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 67¢ $54 5m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 67¢ $54 5m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 27¢ $22 5m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 63¢ $4 8m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 63¢ $96 8m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery SELL Robin Montgomery 76¢ $85 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-80.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 569 -77.9% -80.0% 8% 4% -60.2%
≤30d 569 -77.9% -80.0% 8% 4% -60.2%
≤90d 569 -77.9% -80.0% 8% 4% -60.2%
all 569 -77.9% -80.0% 8% 4% -60.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1680.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -80.0% 4% -60.2%
10% ← realistic here -81.9% 2% -64.0%
15% -83.7% 2% -67.5%
20% -85.3% 2% -70.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $784.73 · official $786.29 (match) · 3500 history records