Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:13:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
90 0x9092…ec5f crypto 1645 markets active 0h ago coverage 60d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 59d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$34 (+1%) realized +$34 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR57%break-even
Win rate57%939W / 706L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day30.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days+$0
14 days−$30
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$135
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 265 +1.8% -7.9% 54% 54% -9.4%
≤30d 786 -2.0% -11.3% 54% 54% -12.2%
≤90d 1645 -2.2% -11.5% 57% 57% -11.9%
all 1645 -2.2% -11.5% 57% 57% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 57% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 56% -20.3%
15% -27.7% 46% -28.0%
20% -34.8% 36% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

60d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses939 / 706
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1645 / 1645
History coverage60d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day30.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1645 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$5 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$5 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$6 +198%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$4 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$5 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$3 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$3 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records