trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 8% | 8% | -14.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 8% | 8% | -14.7% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 8% | 8% | -14.7% |
| all | 12 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 8% | 8% | -14.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -26.0% | 8% | -14.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -33.1% | 8% | -22.9% |
| 15% | -39.5% | 8% | -30.3% |
| 20% | -45.5% | 8% | -37.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+8%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $80 | −$6 | -7% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | -14% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$3 | +234% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | -14% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $8 | −$1 | -7% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $44 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $59 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $8 | $0 | -3% |