Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T01:13:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
90 0x90ad…e47f crypto 38 markets active 1h ago coverage 5d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL +$16 (+4%) realized +$16 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate63%24W / 14L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day14.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +3.9% -6.0% 63% 53% -18.2%
≤30d 38 +3.9% -6.0% 63% 53% -18.2%
≤90d 38 +3.9% -6.0% 63% 53% -18.2%
all 38 +3.9% -6.0% 63% 53% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.0% 53% -18.2%
10% -15.0% 47% -26.1%
15% -23.2% 29% -33.2%
20% -30.7% 8% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +10% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$6 · ×0.34 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses24 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)38 / 38
History coverage5d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day14.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 38 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 21 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 21 $26 +$2 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 21 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 21 $26 −$1 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 21 $26 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 21 $26 +$3 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 21 $17 +$6 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 20 $26 −$7 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 20 $26 −$5 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$1 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 20 $5 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 20 $5 +$2 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 20 $5 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 20 $5 +$1 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 20 $5 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$1 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$3 -60%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $28 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $26 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $24 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $26 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $28 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $26 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $29 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $23 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $17 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $6 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $7 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 76 history records