Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:26:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90b3…4998
crypto · 131 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$3 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses63 / 66
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)129 / 131
History coverage4d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day178.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 129 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$22
14 days−$22
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage illwill 55¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+82%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Virtus.pro 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 86¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner T1 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 85¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner XLG Gaming 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$7 +650%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -52%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$3 +165%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +32%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $1 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$4 -43%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 74% +$16
sports 25% −$36
other 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 +3.4% -6.5% 49% 34% -11.4%
≤30d 129 +3.4% -6.5% 49% 34% -11.4%
≤90d 129 +3.4% -6.5% 49% 34% -11.4%
all 129 +3.4% -6.5% 49% 34% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover178.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 34% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -15.4% 25% -19.9%
15% -23.6% 22% -27.6%
20% -31.1% 16% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.82 · official $1.82 (match) · 733 history records