Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:06:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90be…4be8
crypto · 842 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$198 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized−$15
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses453 / 387
Open positions2
Markets (closed)840 / 842
History coverage68d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day16.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 840 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$255
7 days+$136
14 days−$191
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 51¢ 52¢ $26 $26 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 53¢ 34¢ $26 $17 −$10 (-37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$24 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $28 +$22 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$23 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$23 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $28 +$22 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$25 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$22 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$22 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$23 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$22 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$22 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$21 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$21 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$23 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$21 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$25 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$22 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$22 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$22 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $27 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $27 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $28 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $28 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $28 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $28 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $28 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $27 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $28 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $28 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $28 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $27 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $28 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $28 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $28 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $27 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 304 +0.9% -8.7% 55% 55% -7.7%
≤30d 831 -3.3% -12.5% 54% 42% -9.6%
≤90d 840 -3.4% -12.6% 54% 42% -9.6%
all 840 -3.4% -12.6% 54% 42% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.6% 42% -9.6%
10% -21.0% 40% -18.3%
15% -28.6% 40% -26.2%
20% -35.6% 40% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $42.50 · official $42.50 (match) · 1644 history records