Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90c2…8c24
finance · 176 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$32,532 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$31,138 · open +$1,561
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP finance specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$11,631
Realized+$31,138
Unrealized+$1,561
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses104 / 65
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions4
Markets (closed)169 / 176
Avg bet$2,180
Trades / day46.9
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 4 History 169 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,156
7 days+$3,220
14 days+$2,567
30 days+$17,937
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Up 57¢ 66¢ $8,306 $9,592 +$1,286 (+15%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Up 63¢ 81¢ $948 $1,222 +$274 (+29%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of June 8 2026? No 95¢ 95¢ $594 $592 −$2 (-0%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of June 8 2026? No 92¢ 94¢ $222 $226 +$4 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 11? Jun 11 $2,867 +$1,733 +60%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $843 +$438 +52%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $444 +$121 +27%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $31 −$31 -100%
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 10? Jun 10 $906 −$821 -91%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 10? Jun 10 $2,203 −$2,147 -98%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $2,723 −$428 -16%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 9? Jun 10 $242 −$81 -34%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $2,482 +$1,318 +53%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 8? Jun 09 $1,504 −$410 -27%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 09 $1,232 −$281 -23%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $894 +$311 +35%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $4,850 +$212 +4%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 5? Jun 06 $21 −$21 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $5,803 +$3,139 +54%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $88 +$13 +15%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $3,383 +$363 +11%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $8 −$6 -77%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $29 +$115 +402%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $1,294 +$317 +24%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $639 +$53 +8%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? Jun 05 $2,228 −$795 -36%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 5? Jun 05 $2,611 +$129 +5%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 05 $3,288 −$154 -5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 03 $607 −$167 -28%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 03 $947 +$446 +47%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1? Jun 02 $2,151 +$807 +38%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $1,372 +$276 +20%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1? Jun 01 $215 +$190 +88%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1? Jun 01 $1,378 −$1,065 -77%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29? May 29 $3,546 −$786 -22%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29? May 29 $1,370 −$1,370 -100%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May? May 29 $3,926 +$365 +9%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May? May 29 $6,392 +$611 +10%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of May 25 2026? May 29 $2,258 +$83 +4%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of May 25 2026? May 29 $335 +$15 +5%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 29? May 29 $1,395 +$97 +7%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28? May 28 $613 +$156 +25%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of May 25 2026? May 28 $2,178 +$1,827 +84%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of May 25 2026? May 28 $299 +$5 +2%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of May 25 2026? May 28 $110 +$30 +27%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27? May 28 $133 −$131 -99%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27? May 28 $7,102 −$7,102 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? May 27 $3,793 +$3,364 +89%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 26? May 26 $2,095 +$1,308 +62%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 26? May 26 $314 +$49 +16%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May? May 26 $14,860 +$4,861 +33%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 25 2026? May 26 $1,536 +$189 +12%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26? May 25 $176 −$129 -74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 93% +$37,338
other 7% −$4,562
tech 0% +$1
sports 0% −$78
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 82¢ $81 10m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 79¢ $324 26m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 59¢ $266 36m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 66¢ $65 47m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 84¢ $316 47m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 84¢ $20 48m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 84¢ $218 56m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 84¢ $50 56m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 84¢ $10 57m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 45¢ $96 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 51¢ $266 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 55¢ $234 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 56¢ $281 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 58¢ $300 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 61¢ $253 3h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 53¢ $2,813 3h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 68¢ $69 3h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 68¢ $473 3h
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 95¢ $595 3h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 68¢ $296 4h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 32¢ $356 4h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 67¢ $272 4h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 66¢ $569 4h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 57¢ $810 4h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 64¢ $130 5h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 62¢ $302 5h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 35¢ $6 6h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 33¢ $207 6h
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 92¢ $223 6h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 66¢ $65 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-4.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +2.2% -7.6% 54% 42% -1.7%
≤30d 98 +3.6% -6.2% 64% 36% -0.9%
≤90d 169 +5.1% -4.9% 62% 36% -1.8%
all 169 +5.1% -4.9% 62% 36% -1.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.9% 36% -1.8%
10% -14.0% 26% -11.2%
15% ← realistic here -22.3% 18% -19.8%
20% -29.9% 15% -27.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,631.44 · official $11,631.44 (match) · 3500 history records