Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:36:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90c2…e046
crypto · 23 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses5 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage6d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day30.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$13
14 days−$13
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 09 $8 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 08 $13 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 07 $13 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 07 $16 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 07 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 07 $7 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 07 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 07 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 07 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -48%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 07 $1 $0 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$13
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-28.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -20.4% -28.0% 22% 13% -17.8%
≤30d 23 -20.4% -28.0% 22% 13% -17.8%
≤90d 23 -20.4% -28.0% 22% 13% -17.8%
all 23 -20.4% -28.0% 22% 13% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.0% 13% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -34.9% 4% -25.7%
15% -41.2% 4% -32.9%
20% -47.0% 0% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 194 history records