Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:23:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
90 0x90c8…4835 crypto 885 markets active 4d ago coverage 22d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate48%426W / 459L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day48.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$17
14 days−$66
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$32
other 0% +$2
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 268 -1.1% -10.5% 49% 49% -13.7%
≤30d 885 -2.3% -11.6% 48% 47% -11.7%
≤90d 885 -2.3% -11.6% 48% 47% -11.7%
all 885 -2.3% -11.6% 48% 47% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover48.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 47% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 47% -20.1%
15% -27.8% 44% -27.8%
20% -34.8% 42% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×1.03 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses426 / 459
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)885 / 885
History coverage22d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day48.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 885 Trades
no open positions (242 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1622 history records