Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:38:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90cf…6cc2
crypto · 87 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$967 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$586 · open −$394
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Net worth$1,719
Realized+$586
Unrealized−$394
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses46 / 38
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Est. fees paid−$102
Open positions3
Markets (closed)84 / 87
History coverage54d
Avg bet$211
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 3 History 84 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$454
7 days+$535
14 days+$827
30 days+$902
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 62¢ 90¢ $801 $1,157 +$356 (+44%)
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $562 $561 −$1 (-0%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 61¢ $750 $1 −$749 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 49¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 57¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 51¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha Natus Vincere $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 65¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 85¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 44¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-26? Yes $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Season ZYB Esport 21¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-26? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming 41¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana EDward Gaming 46¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 28¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 47¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 91¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 31¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-26? Yes 56¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 57¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Ninjas in Pyjamas 35¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: NRG Esports vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season Supernova $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 42¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $456 +$343 +75%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $596 +$83 +14%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $154 +$27 +18%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $358 −$130 -36%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $74 −$73 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $1,051 +$201 +19%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes end in a draw? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 07 $12 +$1 +4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $253 +$85 +33%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 31 $1,209 +$291 +24%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 27 $1,508 +$75 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Apr 29 $2 $0 +8%
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on A Apr 28 $892 +$31 +4%
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-26? Apr 26 $200 −$197 -99%
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-26? Apr 26 $100 −$99 -99%
Will Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? Apr 26 $41 +$3 +7%
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 26 $43 −$20 -45%
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-26? Apr 26 $10 −$5 -47%
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-26? Apr 26 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26? Apr 26 $50 +$33 +66%
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-26? Apr 26 $10 −$10 -97%
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw? Apr 26 $320 +$8 +2%
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26? Apr 26 $1,045 −$117 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Apr 25 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Apr 25 $10 $0 +1%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Apr 25 $350 −$350 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 25 $80 +$26 +33%
Will Toulouse FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? Apr 25 $10 +$55 +547%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $50 +$49 +99%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 25 $597 +$15 +3%
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Apr 25 $7 +$4 +59%
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $1,027 +$125 +12%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $987 +$40 +4%
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $26 +$7 +28%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $1,932 +$18 +1%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $1,469 +$375 +26%
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega Apr 25 $1 $0 +20%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 25 $25 −$25 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 25 $10 −$10 -98%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 25 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Apr 25 $10 −$7 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Apr 25 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible (BO3) - North American C Apr 25 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Apr 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha Apr 24 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Apr 24 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Apr 24 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Apr 24 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Apr 24 $25 −$20 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Apr 24 $30 +$6 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 41% −$83
sports 29% −$410
tech 27% +$752
crypto 2% −$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 61¢ $759 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 96¢ $452 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 89¢ $348 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 52¢ $456 3h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 64¢ $520 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 55¢ $456 22h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 44¢ $105 22h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 41¢ $102 22h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 35¢ $54 22h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 24¢ $38 23h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL KT Rolster 17¢ $181 26h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 14¢ $154 27h
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 63¢ $24 5d
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 63¢ $300 5d
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 62¢ $28 5d
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 62¢ $46 5d
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 62¢ $171 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Anyones Legend $33 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 24¢ $205 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Anyones Legend 20¢ $196 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 15¢ $154 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 49¢ $74 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 70¢ $303 6d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 68¢ $342 6d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 59¢ $304 6d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs SELL Karmine Corp 48¢ $478 6d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY Karmine Corp 43¢ $444 6d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Dplus KIA 85¢ $1 6d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Dplus KIA 98¢ $335 6d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Dplus KIA 73¢ $252 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+0.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +210.4% +180.9% 67% 56% +6.2%
≤30d 11 +174.8% +148.6% 73% 55% +4.5%
≤90d 84 +11.1% +0.5% 55% 38% -6.6%
all 84 +11.1% +0.5% 55% 38% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +0.5% 38% -6.6%
10% -9.1% 27% -15.5%
15% -17.9% 13% -23.7%
20% -26.0% 10% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,718.77 · official $1,718.77 (match) · 230 history records