trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 40% | 20% | -16.1% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -9.5% | -18.1% | 29% | 14% | -16.4% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +20.5% | +9.0% | 59% | 47% | -13.7% |
| all | 17 | +20.5% | +9.0% | 59% | 47% | -13.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +9.0% | 47% | -13.7% |
| 10% | -1.4% | 35% | -22.0% |
| 15% | -10.9% | 24% | -29.5% |
| 20% | -19.7% | 18% | -36.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $158 | $156 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 9¢ | $53 | $57 | +$4 (+8%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $61 | $48 | −$13 (-21%) |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 10¢ | $6 | $2 | −$3 (-57%) |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $2 | +$0 (+11%) |
| Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-31%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $82 | −$10 | -12% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $21 | −$6 | -26% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $66 | +$7 | +11% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $94 | −$17 | -18% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $41 | +$3 | +7% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $8 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $7 | −$1 | -16% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | May 25 | $3 | +$1 | +29% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | +31% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 29 | $0 | $0 | +72% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 28 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 21 | $1 | +$2 | +200% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | Apr 17 | $4 | +$5 | +126% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? | Apr 16 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Solana reach $90 in April? | Apr 16 | $1 | $0 | +39% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Apr 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Apr 08 | $4 | +$1 | +16% |