trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 36 | -30.4% | -37.1% | 3% | 3% | -12.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -37.1% | 3% | -12.6% |
| 10% | -43.1% | 3% | -21.0% |
| 15% | -48.6% | 3% | -28.6% |
| 20% | -53.6% | 3% | -35.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | No | 45¢ | 50¢ | $49 | $53 | +$5 (+10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 01 | $954 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 01 | $1,911 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 31 | $1,939 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 31 | $920 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 11 | $920 | −$2 | -0% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | Oct 29 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| MLB All-Star Game | Jul 15 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Lucknow Super Giants vs. Sunrisers Hyderabad | May 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Knicks | May 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority? | May 13 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | May 07 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will France win Eurovision 2025? | May 02 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 28 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 27 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 24 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 23 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 17 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 16 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Apr 09 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 04 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 03 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 02 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | Apr 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Flyers vs. Red Wings | Dec 19 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Kamala Harris get 80-82m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Elec | Dec 18 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | Dec 18 | $107 | +$126 | +117% |
| Warriors vs. Rockets | Dec 12 | $207 | −$207 | -100% |
| Will @PepMangione release another video by Dec 11? | Dec 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Raptors | Dec 04 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |