Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90d4…c7c8
crypto · 412 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,980 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,975 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$732
Realized−$2,975
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses198 / 524
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions9
Markets (closed)722 / 412
History coverage2d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day1538.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 9 History 722 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,080
7 days−$2,975
14 days−$2,975
30 days−$2,975
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $197 $197 −$0 (-0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $167 $166 −$1 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $117 $109 −$8 (-7%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $86 $86 +$0 (+0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $70 $69 −$1 (-1%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $30 $30 −$1 (-2%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $22 $22 −$0 (-0%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 80¢ 80¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-4%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? No 73¢ 72¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 48¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$8 -118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$30 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 59% −$547
other 38% −$314
sports 3% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 29m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $16 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $23 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $13 31m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 31m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 31m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 13¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $46 34m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $18 34m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $11 35m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $4 35m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 38m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 94¢ $9 38m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $10 39m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 94¢ $42 39m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $2 39m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $49 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 39m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 40m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $49 40m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 40m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $49 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-48.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 722 -42.5% -48.0% 27% 19% -26.9%
≤30d 722 -42.5% -48.0% 27% 19% -26.9%
≤90d 722 -42.5% -48.0% 27% 19% -26.9%
all 722 -42.5% -48.0% 27% 19% -26.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1538.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -48.0% 19% -26.9%
10% ← realistic here -53.0% 14% -33.9%
15% -57.5% 11% -40.3%
20% -61.7% 7% -46.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $732.30 · official $731.02 (match) · 3500 history records