Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:04:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90d4…f911
crypto · 1413 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$968 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$968 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$968
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses659 / 924
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1583 / 1413
History coverage9d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day357.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1583 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,117
7 days−$1,107
14 days−$968
30 days−$968
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 32¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 12¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 58¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 31¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 28¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 31¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 41¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 64¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 31¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 15¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 13¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 33¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 31¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 20¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 50¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 50¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 36¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 35¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 22¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$4 -328%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$5 -112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$4 -152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $20 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $12 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $22 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $13 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-29.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1205 -27.6% -34.5% 39% 28% -21.0%
≤30d 1583 -21.6% -29.1% 42% 31% -16.9%
≤90d 1583 -21.6% -29.1% 42% 31% -16.9%
all 1583 -21.6% -29.1% 42% 31% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover357.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.1% 31% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -35.9% 25% -24.9%
15% -42.1% 19% -32.1%
20% -47.8% 14% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records