Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:29:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90d5…a20e
crypto · 4 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$18 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$18
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$3 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $16 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-42.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -36.9% -42.9% 50% 50% -34.4%
≤30d 4 -36.9% -42.9% 50% 50% -34.4%
≤90d 4 -36.9% -42.9% 50% 50% -34.4%
all 4 -36.9% -42.9% 50% 50% -34.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -42.9% 50% -34.4%
10% -48.4% 25% -40.7%
15% -53.4% 0% -46.4%
20% -57.9% 0% -51.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 7 history records