Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:14:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90d9…8652
crypto · 336 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$333 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$333 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$333
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses156 / 180
Open positions0
Markets (closed)336 / 336
History coverage32d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day23.0
Drawdown85%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 336 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$128
7 days+$128
14 days−$166
30 days+$478
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$28 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$8 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$13 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$10 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $58 +$101 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$41 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $131 +$35 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $124 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $55 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$7 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$10 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$8 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$28 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$16 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 04 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 04 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 04 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 04 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 04 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 04 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 04 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 04 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 04 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 04 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 04 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 04 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 04 $21 +$18 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 04 $41 +$39 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 04 $25 +$35 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 04 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 04 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 04 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 04 $105 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 04 $52 +$43 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 04 $17 +$14 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 04 $8 +$10 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 04 $25 +$23 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 04 $25 +$29 +118%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$333
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $31 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $58 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $48 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $61 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $12 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $8 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 +11.0% +0.5% 54% 50% +6.8%
≤30d 293 -2.6% -11.9% 46% 45% -5.1%
≤90d 336 -2.9% -12.1% 46% 45% -6.7%
all 336 -2.9% -12.1% 46% 45% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 45% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 43% -15.6%
15% -28.2% 42% -23.7%
20% -35.2% 40% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1002 history records