Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90eb…68df
crypto · 698 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,226 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,226 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,226
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses233 / 465
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)698 / 698
Avg bet$31
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 0 History 698 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$91
7 days−$91
14 days−$91
30 days−$91
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-24? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5) Oh My God 70¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-27? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3) Tundra Esports 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Air Force Falcons Air Force Falcons 13¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-20? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Nemiga (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage AM Gaming 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) Natus Vincere 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$14 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$11 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$16 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$10 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$18 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$10 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$21 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$12 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$11 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$18 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$28 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Apr 03 $6 −$5 -94%
Timberwolves vs. Pistons Apr 03 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Apr 03 $6 −$5 -97%
Suns vs. Hornets Apr 03 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder Apr 02 $17 −$17 -100%
Kings vs. Celtics Apr 02 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Apr 02 $12 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Apr 02 $7 +$10 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Apr 02 $21 −$18 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Apr 02 $45 −$19 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Apr 02 $51 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Apr 02 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Apr 02 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Apr 02 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Apr 02 $30 −$29 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Apr 02 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Apr 02 $27 +$13 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Apr 02 $24 +$2 +10%
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Mar 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19? Mar 20 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Mar 20 $40 −$9 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Mar 20 $21 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Mar 20 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Mar 20 $18 +$22 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Mar 20 $15 −$15 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 39% −$377
crypto 32% −$1,012
other 28% +$158
world 0% +$6
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-24.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -7.9% -16.7% 25% 25% -32.3%
≤30d 24 -7.9% -16.7% 25% 25% -32.3%
≤90d 83 -25.6% -32.7% 31% 31% -22.4%
all 698 -16.4% -24.3% 33% 32% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.3% 32% -12.9%
10% -31.6% 29% -21.2%
15% -38.2% 23% -28.9%
20% -44.2% 19% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1779 history records