trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +157.3% | +132.8% | 100% | 100% | +104.1% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +157.3% | +132.8% | 100% | 100% | +104.1% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +157.3% | +132.8% | 100% | 100% | +104.1% |
| all | 16 | +28.9% | +16.7% | 62% | 50% | -3.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +16.7% | 50% | -3.2% |
| 10% | +5.5% | 38% | -12.5% |
| 15% | -4.7% | 25% | -20.9% |
| 20% | -14.0% | 25% | -28.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +25% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$2 | +156% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$3 | +335% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Jun 15 | $11 | +$12 | +113% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Mar 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1? | Mar 01 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Mar 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Mar 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026? | Mar 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | Mar 01 | $20 | +$2 | +8% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Mar 01 | $1 | +$4 | +373% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Jan 22 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| ICE shooter charged by March 31? | Jan 22 | $10 | +$1 | +13% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 22 | $10 | +$3 | +26% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Jan 19 | $50 | +$1 | +1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire before July? | Jun 25 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |