Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:23:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x9106…f5bd
crypto · 288 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$561 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$567 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$567
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses155 / 130
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions3
Markets (closed)285 / 288
History coverage23d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day17.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 285 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$97
7 days+$449
14 days−$564
30 days−$567
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Over 49¢ 96¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+96%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 40¢ 48¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+21%)
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Seattle Mariners 46¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 +$6 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 +$8 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$13 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$13 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$13 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$13 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$17 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +105%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4 Jun 12 $10 +$21 +202%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$16 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$19 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$18 +87%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $5 +$4 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$654
sports 7% +$97
other 1% +$7
finance 0% −$15
economics 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 1h
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) BUY Seattle Mariners 46¢ $5 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 40¢ $5 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 49¢ $5 1h
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 46¢ $5 7h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $16 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $17 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 8h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 37¢ $5 8h
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 46¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $19 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $19 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $23 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $21 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $19 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-2.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 254 +9.5% -0.9% 55% 54% +8.0%
≤30d 285 +7.6% -2.6% 54% 54% -23.6%
≤90d 285 +7.6% -2.6% 54% 54% -23.6%
all 285 +7.6% -2.6% 54% 54% -23.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.6% 54% -23.6%
10% -11.9% 52% -30.9%
15% -20.5% 50% -37.6%
20% -28.2% 43% -43.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.80 · official $20.80 (match) · 611 history records